Jeff Banister, AL Manager Of The Year; Pete Mackanin, NL Manager Of The Year.
MLB lacks good stats on managers. The best we have is XWL (expected wins-loss), which compares what each team’s win-loss record should be, based on runs scored, to its actual record. A good manager exceeds XWL, a poor managers fails to meet it.
So based on reason, math, and logic, here are the MLB Manager Of The Year predictions:
| Division | Team | Wins (Actual) | Wins (XWL) | Detla | Manager | Notes |
| Top Third – Exceeded Expectations | ||||||
| AL West | Texas | 89 | 76 | 13 | Jeff Banister | AL Manager Of The Year |
| NL East | Philadelphia | 67 | 59 | 8 | Pete Mackanin | NL Manager Of The Year |
| AL East | NY Yankees | 77 | 72 | 5 | Joe Girardi | Yankees |
| AL Central | Kansas City | 77 | 72 | 5 | Ned Yost | no comment |
| AL East | Baltimore | 82 | 77 | 5 | Buck Showalter | slow |
| AL Central | Detroit | 79 | 75 | 4 | Brad Ausmus | should have kept him |
| NL East | NY Mets | 80 | 78 | 2 | Terry Collins | no comment |
| NL West | Arizona | 63 | 62 | 1 | Chip Hale | no comment |
| AL Central | Chi White Sox | 72 | 71 | 1 | Robin Ventura | beat up by Nolan Ryan |
| NL East | Miami | 75 | 74 | 1 | Don Mattingly | Mr. Yankee |
| Middle Third – Met Expectations | ||||||
| NL West | LA Dodgers | 85 | 84 | 1 | Dave Roberts | The Steal |
| AL Central | Cleveland | 86 | 85 | 1 | Terry Francona | Tito! |
| NL Central | Cincinnati | 63 | 63 | 0 | Bryan Price | no comment |
| AL West | Oakland | 66 | 66 | 0 | Bob Melvin | no comment |
| NL Central | Pittsburgh | 74 | 74 | 0 | Clint Hurdle | no comment |
| NL East | Atlanta | 59 | 60 | -1 | Brian Snitker | no comment |
| AL West | Houston | 79 | 80 | -1 | A. J. Hinch | no comment |
| AL West | Seattle | 79 | 80 | -1 | Scott Servais | no comment |
| AL East | Toronto | 82 | 83 | -1 | John Gibbons | slow |
| NL Central | Milwaukee | 68 | 70 | -2 | Craig Counsell | Postseason Hero |
| Bottom Third – Below Expectations | ||||||
| NL Central | St. Louis | 79 | 81 | -2 | Mike Matheny | no comment |
| NL West | San Francisco | 79 | 82 | -3 | Bruce Bochy | no comment |
| NL East | Washington | 88 | 91 | -3 | Dusty Baker | Nukes Arms |
| NL West | San Diego | 63 | 67 | -4 | Andy Green | no comment |
| NL West | Colorado | 72 | 76 | -4 | Walt Weiss | no comment |
| NL Central | Chi Cubs | 95 | 99 | -4 | Joe Maddon | Glasses |
| AL East | Boston | 86 | 91 | -5 | John Farrell | Worst Manager In My Lifetime |
| AL West | LA Angels | 65 | 71 | -6 | Mike Scioscia | Loser Face |
| AL Central | Minnesota | 55 | 62 | -7 | Paul Molitor | Twins |
| AL East | Tampa Bay | 64 | 72 | -8 | Kevin Cash | Catcher |
Note that John Farrell, the Red Sox “manager,” is the 4th worst in all of baseball. Not only is Farrell the worst manager in my lifetime, he’s the 4th worst in 2016!
I welcome the #FireFarrell apologists to present one iota of evidence to the contrary.
Even if the Red Sox win the 2016 World Series (which they won’t, because of Farrell’s incompetent in-game management), he should still be fired.
And if the Red Sox DO win the 2016 World Series, it will be in spite of John “slightly better than Butch Hobson” Farrell, not because of him.
I’m no idiot. I’m an MIT engineer, a patent lawyer, and a season ticket holder. Check my math.
And #FireFarrell.
Well, I got this one wrong. But so did the BBWAA.
* Terry Francona (Cleveland) and Dave Roberts (LA Dodgers) are Managers of the Year (2016-11-15)
http://m.mlb.com/news/article/208911150/bbwaa-al-and-nl-managers-of-the-year-announced/